Implement some basic backtesting.
Switch to simpler log-based projection.
Add improved vol calculation.
Implement trend smoothing.
Add Claude's notes on current model.
Run projections and backtests in parallel.
Add market maturity projection adjustments.
Improve volume handling in market maturity calculations.
New backtest suite proposed by Claude.
Fix create_plots() output.
Merge branch 'new-backtests' into market-maturity-backtests
Add era-aware market maturity adjustments.
Add updated notes from Claude.
Add justfile to simplify organizing results for comparison.
Run more projections from various start dates.
Tuning session; removed market maturity.
The market maturity score only complicated the model with no clear
benefit. Still working on getting the various backtests tuned.
Add Claude's notes from recent session.
More helpful additions to workflow.
New systematic backtest framework.
Add notes on new backtesting framework.
Use ruff linter.
Tweak the backtests.
* Start from 2011 instead of 2013.
* Validate over two years instead of one.
Improve uncertainty estimation.
Add Claude's notes from the last revision.
Add adaptive volatility window.
New, streamlined NOTES.
Fix projection plot bugs.
Update prices.csv.
Actually use long-term vol in adaptive calculation.
Use more conservative 1e-6 to prevent division by zero.
it's an error not to provide halving dates
warn when val period shorter than projection period
Update prices.csv
Manage output files in less-janky fashion.
Use market fundamentals intsead of empirical era adjustments.
Improve CI coverage.
Use S2F metrics for trend analysis.
update prices
Merge branch 'next' into mkt-fndm
Update prices.
Merge branch 'next' into mkt-fndm
Add CDPR plot.
Merge branch 'next' into mkt-fndm
Update prices.
Slight optimization to cdpr plot gen.
Update prices.
Merge branch 'next' into mkt-fndm
Add price to CDPR plot.
Update prices.
Add .private to .gitignore.
Update prices.
